Analyst rating accuracy & track record
Matthew J. Carletti is an equity research analyst at JMP Securities. Quantellect has scored 53 of their stock calls across 13 companies. Their picks beat their sector 41% of the time over the next 12 months, and their price targets were reached 42% of the time within a year.
Track record
Quantellect has scored 53 of Matthew J. Carletti's stock calls across 13 companies, dating back to 2018. Their rated stocks beat their own sector 41% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call, a Carletti pick returned −9.1% more than its sector over the following year.
Of the scored calls, 53 were bullish (Buy). Most of their coverage sits in Financial Services. Every number on this page is an estimate from our own data. It is for education only and is not investment advice.
Coverage & ratings
Ratings & price targets
| Stock | Rating | Price target | Rated | 12-mo vs sector | PT hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SLDESlide Insurance Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | Buy | $25.00 | Jul 2025 | +2.6% | Miss |
| SLDESlide Insurance Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | Buy | $25.00 | Jul 2025 | +2.6% | Miss |
 AIIAmerican Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | Buy | $23.00 | Jun 2025 | +3.8% | Hit |
 HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $225.00 | May 2025 | −6.7% | Miss |
 FIHLFidelis Insurance Holdings Limited | Buy | $27.00 | May 2025 | +36.3% | Miss |
| HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $210.00 | May 2025 | −10.0% | Hit |
 JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $8.00 | May 2025 | −12.0% | Miss |
 SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock | Buy | $65.00 | May 2025 | −32.4% | Hit |
 AMSFAMERISAFE Inc | Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2025 | −39.8% | Miss |
 BOWBowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. | Buy | $40.00 | Apr 2025 | −49.5% | Hit |
| HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $165.00 | Feb 2025 | +24.8% | Hit |
 SBRASabra Healthcare REIT Inc | Buy | $20.00 | Feb 2025 | +30.9% | Hit |
| SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock | Buy | $60.00 | Feb 2025 | −12.2% | Hit |
| JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $8.00 | Dec 2024 | +21.7% | Miss |
 HIPOHippo Holdings Inc | Buy | $35.00 | Nov 2024 | −4.1% | Hit |
| BOWBowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. | Buy | $33.00 | Nov 2024 | −31.9% | Hit |
 THGThe Hanover Insurance Group Inc | Buy | $175.00 | Oct 2024 | +4.1% | Hit |
| AMSFAMERISAFE Inc | Buy | $65.00 | Oct 2024 | −30.2% | Miss |
 ROOTRoot Inc | Buy | $90.00 | Oct 2024 | +72.4% | Hit |
 KMPRKemper Corporation | Buy | $85.00 | Oct 2024 | −38.6% | Miss |
| THGThe Hanover Insurance Group Inc | Buy | $160.00 | Oct 2024 | +3.0% | Hit |
| HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $145.00 | Oct 2024 | +62.3% | Hit |
| HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $145.00 | Sep 2024 | +50.7% | Hit |
| HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $145.00 | Aug 2024 | +47.5% | Hit |
| JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $11.00 | Aug 2024 | −46.7% | Miss |
| KMPRKemper Corporation | Buy | $85.00 | Aug 2024 | −44.2% | Miss |
| AMSFAMERISAFE Inc | Buy | $65.00 | Jul 2024 | −24.3% | Miss |
| JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $14.00 | Jul 2024 | −53.2% | Miss |
| KMPRKemper Corporation | Buy | $80.00 | Jul 2024 | −23.2% | Miss |
| HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $135.00 | May 2024 | +42.4% | Hit |
| AMSFAMERISAFE Inc | Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2024 | −17.7% | Miss |
| HIPOHippo Holdings Inc | Buy | $25.00 | Apr 2024 | −9.2% | Hit |
| JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $15.00 | Apr 2024 | −72.2% | Miss |
| KMPRKemper Corporation | Buy | $75.00 | Apr 2024 | −15.3% | Miss |
| HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $120.00 | Apr 2024 | +13.1% | Hit |
| HIPOHippo Holdings Inc | Buy | $25.00 | Mar 2024 | +30.8% | Hit |
| HCIHCI Group Inc | Buy | $120.00 | Mar 2024 | +0.8% | Hit |
| JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $15.00 | Nov 2023 | −87.7% | Miss |
| KMPRKemper Corporation | Buy | $75.00 | Oct 2023 | +2.5% | Miss |
| HIPOHippo Holdings Inc | Buy | $25.00 | Oct 2023 | +87.4% | Hit |
| JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $30.00 | Oct 2023 | −97.6% | Miss |
| HIPOHippo Holdings Inc | Buy | $50.00 | Aug 2023 | +69.4% | Miss |
| AMSFAMERISAFE Inc | Buy | $65.00 | Jul 2023 | −36.6% | Miss |
| HIPOHippo Holdings Inc | Buy | $70.00 | Jul 2023 | −38.1% | Miss |
| JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $32.00 | Jul 2023 | −80.5% | Miss |
| KMPRKemper Corporation | Buy | $85.00 | Jul 2023 | +8.5% | Miss |
| JRVRJames River Group Holdings Ltd | Buy | $32.00 | May 2023 | −85.6% | Miss |
| AMSFAMERISAFE Inc | Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2023 | −41.2% | Miss |
| AMSFAMERISAFE Inc | Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2023 | −25.4% | Miss |
| HIPOHippo Holdings Inc | Buy | $70.00 | Apr 2023 | −13.6% | Miss |
Matthew J. Carletti: analyst track record FAQ
Is Matthew J. Carletti a good stock analyst?
Yes, by track record. Matthew J. Carletti ranks number 239 of 388 of the analysts Quantellect scores, with a Q Score of 23 out of 100. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
What is Matthew J. Carletti's win rate?
Matthew J. Carletti's win rate is 41%. Across 53 scored calls, their rated stocks beat their sector 41% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call they returned −9.1% more than the sector.
What stocks and sectors does Matthew J. Carletti cover?
Matthew J. Carletti covers 13 companies, with the most coverage in Financial Services. See the ratings table above for every scored call and its outcome.
Are Matthew J. Carletti's price targets accurate?
Matthew J. Carletti's price targets are reached within 12 months 42% of the time. The base rate across all analysts Quantellect tracks is about 43 percent.
How accurate are Wall Street analyst price targets?
Most analyst price targets are not reached on schedule. Across every target Quantellect scores, the stock reaches the target within 12 months only about 43 percent of the time, which is why it helps to compare hit rates analyst by analyst.
Should I follow Matthew J. Carletti's stock ratings?
Their track record is strong, but no analyst is right every time. Follow the long-term track record rather than any single rating, size your positions to your own risk, and treat this as research, not investment advice.
How does Quantellect score analyst accuracy?
Quantellect scores every rating on real prices. We enter at the closing price on or after the call date, with no look-ahead, then measure the 12-month return above the stock's sector ETF and check whether the price target was reached. Scores are pulled toward the population average and corrected for testing thousands of analysts at once, so they reflect repeatable skill rather than luck.
How does Matthew J. Carletti rank among Wall Street analysts?
Matthew J. Carletti ranks number 239 of 388 by Q Score. We rank analysts by their realized 12-month sector-excess return and require a minimum number of calls so a few lucky picks cannot reach the top.
Browse the full analyst leaderboardHow analyst accuracy is scored
Every score, Win %, PT Hit % and rank is an estimate Quantellect calculates from its own data and may not be 100% accurate or complete. Returns are measured in excess of each rated stock's own sector over the 12 months after each call. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.