Analyst rating accuracy & track record
Michael Ciarmoli is an equity research analyst at Truist Securities. Quantellect has scored 56 of their stock calls across 15 companies. Their picks beat their sector 60% of the time over the next 12 months, and their price targets were reached 66% of the time within a year.
Track record
Quantellect has scored 56 of Michael Ciarmoli's stock calls across 15 companies, dating back to 2018. Their rated stocks beat their own sector 60% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call, a Ciarmoli pick returned +8.5% more than its sector over the following year.
Of the scored calls, 55 were bullish (Buy) and 1 were bearish (Sell). Most of their coverage sits in Industrials. Every number on this page is an estimate from our own data. It is for education only and is not investment advice.
Coverage & ratings
Ratings & price targets
| Stock | Rating | Price target | Rated | 12-mo vs sector | PT hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AIRAAR Corp | Buy | $81.00 | Jul 2025 | +54.5% | Hit |
 DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $95.00 | Jul 2025 | +64.1% | Hit |
 HEIHeico Corporation | Buy | $352.00 | Jul 2025 | −13.6% | Hit |
 TDGTransdigm Group Incorporated | Buy | $1730.00 | Jul 2025 | −36.5% | Miss |
 ATROAstronics Corporation | Buy | $49.00 | Jul 2025 | +80.6% | Hit |
 WWDWoodward Inc | Buy | $294.00 | Jul 2025 | +37.7% | Hit |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $87.00 | Jun 2025 | +89.8% | Hit |
 RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $431.00 | Jun 2025 | +37.7% | Hit |
| WWDWoodward Inc | Buy | $267.00 | Jun 2025 | +42.2% | Hit |
 TATTTat Techno | Buy | $35.00 | Jun 2025 | +49.2% | Hit |
 MRCYMercury Systems Inc | Buy | $60.00 | Jun 2025 | +99.2% | Hit |
| RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $405.00 | May 2025 | +32.4% | Hit |
 VSECVSE Corporation | Buy | $140.00 | May 2025 | +20.9% | Hit |
| WWDWoodward Inc | Buy | $209.00 | Apr 2025 | +62.1% | Hit |
 HXLHexcel Corporation | Buy | $67.00 | Apr 2025 | +47.3% | Hit |
 AINAlbany International Corporation | Buy | $80.00 | Apr 2025 | −39.8% | Miss |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $70.00 | Apr 2025 | +106.1% | Hit |
| HXLHexcel Corporation | Buy | $73.00 | Apr 2025 | +34.1% | Hit |
| HEIHeico Corporation | Buy | $277.00 | Apr 2025 | −20.6% | Hit |
| RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $375.00 | Apr 2025 | +44.5% | Hit |
| VSECVSE Corporation | Buy | $130.00 | Apr 2025 | +76.7% | Hit |
| AIRAAR Corp | Buy | $78.00 | Mar 2025 | +63.2% | Hit |
| MRCYMercury Systems Inc | Buy | $56.00 | Mar 2025 | +40.7% | Hit |
| HEIHeico Corporation | Buy | $294.00 | Mar 2025 | −14.6% | Hit |
| VSECVSE Corporation | Buy | $134.00 | Mar 2025 | +56.6% | Hit |
| RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $410.00 | Feb 2025 | +14.9% | Hit |
| AINAlbany International Corporation | Buy | $88.00 | Jan 2025 | −34.5% | Miss |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $82.00 | Jan 2025 | +40.2% | Hit |
| RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $351.00 | Jan 2025 | +36.9% | Hit |
| VSECVSE Corporation | Buy | $129.00 | Jan 2025 | +85.5% | Hit |
| RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $347.00 | Nov 2024 | +25.2% | Hit |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $80.00 | Nov 2024 | +29.9% | Hit |
| VSECVSE Corporation | Buy | $133.00 | Nov 2024 | +40.9% | Hit |
| AINAlbany International Corporation | Buy | $85.00 | Nov 2024 | −40.9% | Hit |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $71.00 | Oct 2024 | +38.2% | Hit |
 ASLEAerSale Corp | Buy | $8.00 | Oct 2024 | +28.4% | Hit |
| AINAlbany International Corporation | Buy | $91.00 | Oct 2024 | −48.7% | Miss |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $72.00 | Aug 2024 | +22.0% | Hit |
| ASLEAerSale Corp | Buy | $10.00 | Aug 2024 | +37.0% | Miss |
| AINAlbany International Corporation | Buy | $101.00 | Jul 2024 | −38.5% | Miss |
| RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $315.00 | Jul 2024 | +13.2% | Hit |
| RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $328.00 | May 2024 | +10.3% | Hit |
| AINAlbany International Corporation | Buy | $104.00 | May 2024 | −37.9% | Miss |
| ASLEAerSale Corp | Buy | $12.00 | Mar 2024 | +3.3% | Miss |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $65.00 | Feb 2024 | +8.3% | Hit |
| AINAlbany International Corporation | Buy | $121.00 | Jan 2024 | −38.8% | Miss |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | Buy | $69.00 | Jan 2024 | +11.1% | Hit |
| RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | Buy | $309.00 | Jan 2024 | −10.9% | Hit |
| ASLEAerSale Corp | Buy | $19.00 | Nov 2023 | −99.6% | Miss |
 SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc | Sell | $1.00 | Oct 2023 | +119.8% | Hit |
Michael Ciarmoli: analyst track record FAQ
Is Michael Ciarmoli a good stock analyst?
Yes, by track record. Michael Ciarmoli ranks number 18 of 388 of the analysts Quantellect scores, with a Q Score of 76 out of 100. Their edge holds up after we account for testing thousands of analysts at once, so they clear our Skilled bar. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
What is Michael Ciarmoli's win rate?
Michael Ciarmoli's win rate is 60%. Across 56 scored calls, their rated stocks beat their sector 60% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call they returned +8.5% more than the sector.
What stocks and sectors does Michael Ciarmoli cover?
Michael Ciarmoli covers 15 companies, with the most coverage in Industrials. See the ratings table above for every scored call and its outcome.
Are Michael Ciarmoli's price targets accurate?
Michael Ciarmoli's price targets are reached within 12 months 66% of the time. The base rate across all analysts Quantellect tracks is about 43 percent.
How accurate are Wall Street analyst price targets?
Most analyst price targets are not reached on schedule. Across every target Quantellect scores, the stock reaches the target within 12 months only about 43 percent of the time, which is why it helps to compare hit rates analyst by analyst.
Should I follow Michael Ciarmoli's stock ratings?
Their track record is strong, but no analyst is right every time. Follow the long-term track record rather than any single rating, size your positions to your own risk, and treat this as research, not investment advice.
How does Quantellect score analyst accuracy?
Quantellect scores every rating on real prices. We enter at the closing price on or after the call date, with no look-ahead, then measure the 12-month return above the stock's sector ETF and check whether the price target was reached. Scores are pulled toward the population average and corrected for testing thousands of analysts at once, so they reflect repeatable skill rather than luck.
How does Michael Ciarmoli rank among Wall Street analysts?
Michael Ciarmoli ranks number 18 of 388 by Q Score. We rank analysts by their realized 12-month sector-excess return and require a minimum number of calls so a few lucky picks cannot reach the top.
Browse the full analyst leaderboardHow analyst accuracy is scored
Every score, Win %, PT Hit % and rank is an estimate Quantellect calculates from its own data and may not be 100% accurate or complete. Returns are measured in excess of each rated stock's own sector over the 12 months after each call. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.