Analyst rating accuracy & track record
Matthew Smith is an equity research analyst at Stifel. Quantellect has scored 22 of their stock calls across 12 companies. Their picks beat their sector 38% of the time over the next 12 months, and their price targets were reached 50% of the time within a year.
Track record
Quantellect has scored 22 of Matthew Smith's stock calls across 12 companies, dating back to 2023. Their rated stocks beat their own sector 38% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call, a Smith pick returned −0.6% more than its sector over the following year.
Of the scored calls, 22 were bullish (Buy). Most of their coverage sits in Consumer Defensive. Every number on this page is an estimate from our own data. It is for education only and is not investment advice.
Coverage & ratings
Ratings & price targets
| Stock | Rating | Price target | Rated | 12-mo vs sector | PT hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMPLSimply Good Foods Co | Buy | $38.00 | Jun 2025 | −64.8% | Miss |
 MNSTMonster Beverage Corp | Buy | $72.00 | Jun 2025 | +38.3% | Hit |
 CELHCelsius Holdings Inc | Buy | $47.00 | Jun 2025 | −38.0% | Hit |
 MOAltria Group | Buy | $63.00 | Apr 2025 | +24.3% | Hit |
 WESTWestrock Coffee Company | Buy | $10.00 | Apr 2025 | −9.0% | Miss |
 PMPhilip Morris International Inc | Buy | $186.00 | Apr 2025 | −5.9% | Hit |
| PMPhilip Morris International Inc | Buy | $168.00 | Apr 2025 | +2.6% | Hit |
| MOAltria Group | Buy | $60.00 | Nov 2024 | +16.1% | Hit |
 POSTPost Holdings Inc | Buy | $130.00 | Aug 2024 | −13.2% | Miss |
| WESTWestrock Coffee Company | Buy | $12.00 | Dec 2023 | −43.8% | Miss |
| WESTWestrock Coffee Company | Buy | $13.00 | Jul 2023 | −11.4% | Miss |
 GISGeneral Mills Inc | Buy | $95.00 | Apr 2023 | −19.4% | Miss |
| SMPLSimply Good Foods Co | Buy | $41.00 | Apr 2023 | −11.1% | Hit |
| WESTWestrock Coffee Company | Buy | $14.00 | Apr 2023 | −19.8% | Miss |
| MOAltria Group | Buy | $52.00 | Apr 2023 | −1.0% | Miss |
 MDLZMondelez International Inc | Buy | $78.00 | Apr 2023 | −3.4% | Hit |
| PMPhilip Morris International Inc | Buy | $114.00 | Apr 2023 | −5.8% | Miss |
| POSTPost Holdings Inc | Buy | $106.00 | Apr 2023 | +15.5% | Hit |
 VITLVital Farms Inc | Buy | $18.00 | Apr 2023 | +85.7% | Hit |
 KHCKraft Heinz Co | Buy | $44.00 | Apr 2023 | −3.3% | Miss |
 BRBRBellring Brands LLC | Buy | $39.00 | Apr 2023 | +58.5% | Hit |
| BRBRBellring Brands LLC | Buy | $39.00 | Apr 2023 | +60.8% | Hit |
Matthew Smith: analyst track record FAQ
Is Matthew Smith a good stock analyst?
Yes, by track record. Matthew Smith ranks number 104 of 388 of the analysts Quantellect scores, with a Q Score of 48 out of 100. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
What is Matthew Smith's win rate?
Matthew Smith's win rate is 38%. Across 22 scored calls, their rated stocks beat their sector 38% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call they returned −0.6% more than the sector.
What stocks and sectors does Matthew Smith cover?
Matthew Smith covers 12 companies, with the most coverage in Consumer Defensive. See the ratings table above for every scored call and its outcome.
Are Matthew Smith's price targets accurate?
Matthew Smith's price targets are reached within 12 months 50% of the time. The base rate across all analysts Quantellect tracks is about 43 percent.
How accurate are Wall Street analyst price targets?
Most analyst price targets are not reached on schedule. Across every target Quantellect scores, the stock reaches the target within 12 months only about 43 percent of the time, which is why it helps to compare hit rates analyst by analyst.
Should I follow Matthew Smith's stock ratings?
Their track record is strong, but no analyst is right every time. Follow the long-term track record rather than any single rating, size your positions to your own risk, and treat this as research, not investment advice.
How does Quantellect score analyst accuracy?
Quantellect scores every rating on real prices. We enter at the closing price on or after the call date, with no look-ahead, then measure the 12-month return above the stock's sector ETF and check whether the price target was reached. Scores are pulled toward the population average and corrected for testing thousands of analysts at once, so they reflect repeatable skill rather than luck.
How does Matthew Smith rank among Wall Street analysts?
Matthew Smith ranks number 104 of 388 by Q Score. We rank analysts by their realized 12-month sector-excess return and require a minimum number of calls so a few lucky picks cannot reach the top.
Browse the full analyst leaderboardHow analyst accuracy is scored
Every score, Win %, PT Hit % and rank is an estimate Quantellect calculates from its own data and may not be 100% accurate or complete. Returns are measured in excess of each rated stock's own sector over the 12 months after each call. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.